Soccer Hot Trends - March 14, 2011
- Monday, March 14, 2011 4:36 PM
- Written By: AccuScore
This week, AccuScore Soccer's Hot Trends focused on the hottest trends in the English Premier League. After the EPL took last week off, AccuScore decided that we would double the dosage and provide our EPL investors with more of the most profitable trends from England's top flight. As always, we also included some of the better performing trends from Spain, Germany and Italy to provide investors a starting point when making their picks.
Without any further delay, here are this week's Soccer Hot Trends...
| Top 18 Hot Trends (Updated March 14, 2011) | ||||
| League | Hot Trend | Trend Record |
Trend Value | |
| EPL | Birmingham Value on the Road | 8-11 | +665 | |
| EPL | Birmingham Value on Draw | 8-7 | +1,445 | |
| EPL | Birmingham Picking Under | 5-0 | +455 | |
| EPL | Everton Value on Draws | 10-3 | +610 | |
| EPL | Everton Value on Draws | 6-4 | +1,540 | |
| EPL | Sunderland Value on Draw | 11-9 | +1,266 | |
| EPL | West Bromwich Value on Road | 8-2 | +528 | |
| EPL | Wigan Athletic Side Value - All | 19-23 | +2,739 | |
| La Liga | Atletico Madrid Value on Losing | 10-12 | +857 | |
| Bundes | Nurnberg Value on Winning | 9-6 | +1758 | |
| Bundes | Nurnberg Totals at Home | 9-1 | +719 | |
| Bundes | Bayern Munich Side Total - All | 8-3 | +428 | |
| Bundes | Borussia Dortmund Value on Winning | 16-4 | +1,530 | |
| Serie A | Brescia Value on Draw | 6-7 | +1,382 | |
| Serie A | Cagliari Totals at Home | 4-1 | +264 | |
| Serie A | Lecce Totals on the Road | 8-2 | +528 | |
| Serie A | Napoli Value on Winning | 8-7 | +491 | |
| Serie A | Udinese Value on Winning | 11-6 | +1,246 | |
| Combined Record for these Trends | 164-108 | +18,451 | ||
AccuScore uses these Hot Trends to make its Expert Picks. Click Here to see an updated Summary of Expert Hot Trends Picks.
For those who do not understand what value situation means, there are 2 types of Value situations:
1. Totals (Overs/Unders): AccuScore identifies a value situation as the Total that results from over 50% of the 10,000 simulations that AccuScore performs for every match.
For Example: In last week’s AC Milan v Tottenham Hotspur Champions League match, the Over/Under was 2.5 goals. 52.0% of AccuScore’s 10,000 simulations ended with the teams combining for Under 2.5 goals. As such, AccuScore found value in picking the Under 2.5 goals. The match ended 0-0.
2.Side Value: AccuScore converts public bookies' odds for every possible result into a percentage out of 100% (identified as “Line%” in each Game Forecast). Then, AccuScore performs its simulations independently of the bookies’ probabilities to arrive at its own AccuScore probabilities for each outcome (ACC%). In every match forecast, AccuScore presents the “Line %” to be compared with the “ACC%” in the “Live Betting Predictions Box.” If the ACC% is higher than the Line% for any of the possible results, AccuScore views that result to have value (in some cases more than 1 result).
For Example:Let’s review the same Champions League match between AC Milan and Tottenham Hotspur:
(Members: Click Here to view Game Forecast)
Line%: AC Milan to win – 31.5%; Tottenham to win – 40.7%, and Draw 27.8%.
ACC%: AC Milan to win – 36.0%; Tottenham to win – 36.0%, and Draw 28.0%.
According to the ACC% and Line% above, AccuScore found value in picking AC Milan to win and picking the draw. The teams drew 0-0, so 100 units placed on both the Draw and AC Milan to win would have yielded a net profit of +152 units (+252 in profit for the Draw - 100 in losses for AC Milan Winning).
AccuScore advises Soccer investors to use our extremely reasonable priced Soccer Advisor product ($9.95/month, Try it for Free) as a reference tool to become smarter investors.
