Soccer Hot Trends - March 9, 2011
- Thursday, March 10, 2011 9:37 AM
- Written By: AccuScore
After not providing an update to the Hot Trends last week, AccuScore Soccer returns with an update to Hot Trends. This week, AccuScore Soccer focused on EPL, Bundesliga, and Serie A Hot Trends because the English Premier League is off due to FA Cup.
Without any further delay, here are this week's Soccer Hot Trends...
| 10 Hot Trends Worth a Look (Updated March 9th, 2011) | ||||
| League | Hot Trend | Trend Record |
Trend Value | |
| EPL | Atletico Madrid Side Value | 16-20 | +1,265 | |
| EPL | Sevilla Value on Losing | 7-8 | +1,229 | |
| EPL | Malaga Value on Losing | 11-6 | +1,064 | |
| Bundes | Borussia Dortmund Value on Winning | 16-4 | +1,530 | |
| Bundes | Borussia Monchengladbach Totals | 5-1 | +355 | |
| Bundes | Borussia Monchengladbach Side Value | 14-16 | +1,344 | |
| Bundes | Nuremberg Totals at Home | 9-1 | +719 | |
| Serie A | Juventus Totals on Road | 7-2 | +437 | |
| Serie A | Lecce Totals on the Road | 8-2 | +528 | |
| Serie A | Udinese Value on Winning | 10-6 | +1,075 | |
| Combined Record for these Trends | 103-66 | +9,546 | ||
For those who do not understand what value situation means, there are 2 types of Value situations:
1. Totals (Overs/Unders): AccuScore identifies a value situation as the Total that results from over 50% of the 10,000 simulations that AccuScore performs for every match.
For Example: In Tuesday’s AC Milan v Tottenham Hotspur Champions League match, the Over/Under was 2.5 goals. 56.0% of AccuScore’s 10,000 simulations ended with the teams combining for Under 2.5 goals. As such, AccuScore found value in picking the Under 2.5 goals. The match ended 1-0.
2.Side Value: AccuScore converts public bookies' odds for every possible result into a percentage out of 100% (identified as “Line%” in each Game Forecast). Then, AccuScore performs its simulations independently of the bookies’ probabilities to arrive at its own AccuScore probabilities for each outcome (ACC%). In every match forecast, AccuScore presents the “Line %” to be compared with the “ACC%” in the “Live Betting Predictions Box.” If the ACC% is higher than the Line% for any of the possible results, AccuScore views that result to have value (in some cases more than 1 result).
For Example:Let’s review the same Champions League match between AC Milan and Tottenham Hotspur:
(Members: Click Here to view Game Forecast)
Line%: AC Milan to win – 56.7%; Tottenham to win – 17.7%, and Draw 25.6%.
ACC%: AC Milan to win – 52.6%; Tottenham to win – 20.6%, and Draw 26.8%.
According to the ACC% and Line% above, AccuScore found value in picking Tottenham to win and picking the draw. Tottenham won 1-0, so 100 units placed on both the Draw and Spurs to win would have yielded a net profit of +353 units (+454 in profit for Tottenham winning - 100 in losses for the Draw).
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