The Impact Of A Real Brett Favre Retirement
- Tuesday, August 3, 2010 3:07 PM
- Written By: AccuScore
If Brett Favre does in fact retire, it will have a huge effect on the Minnesota Vikings’ playoff chances.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
W |
L |
% |
DIV |
PLAYOFF |
PPG |
With Favre |
11.5 |
4.5 |
71.9% |
73% |
91% |
30.0 |
Without Favre |
8.9 |
7.1 |
55.6% |
32% |
53% |
24.0 |
Difference |
-2.6 |
2.6 |
-16.3% |
-41% |
-38% |
-6.0 |
The Vikings were AccuScore’s strong favorite in the NFC North but now are second to the Packers. (Maybe this was one last kind thing that Favre does for the Packers?).
NFC NORTH (With Favre) |
W |
L |
% |
DIV |
PLAYOFF |
Minnesota Vikings |
11.5 |
4.5 |
71.9% |
73% |
91% |
Green Bay Packers |
9.5 |
6.5 |
59.4% |
22% |
60% |
Chicago Bears |
7.4 |
8.6 |
46.3% |
4% |
18% |
Detroit Lions |
4.8 |
11.2 |
30.0% |
1% |
1% |
NFC NORTH (No Favre) |
W |
L |
% |
DIV |
PLAYOFF |
Green Bay Packers |
9.7 |
6.3 |
60.6% |
52% |
69% |
Minnesota Vikings |
8.9 |
7.1 |
55.6% |
32% |
53% |
Chicago Bears |
7.8 |
8.2 |
48.8% |
14% |
29% |
Detroit Lions |
5.0 |
11.0 |
31.3% |
2% |
2% |
FANTASY IMPACT
Favre’s retirement would also significantly impact the fantasy value of the rest of the Vikings. First, Tarvaris Jackson’s projected passing numbers lag significantly behind Favre’s.
QUARTERBACKS |
CMP/ATT |
% |
YARDS |
TD |
INT |
POS RANK |
Brett Favre |
315/480 |
65.6% |
3911 |
29 |
14 |
7TH |
Tarvaris Jackson |
293/518 |
56.6% |
3326 |
17 |
13 |
24TH |
Difference |
22 CMP |
-9.1% |
-585 |
-12 |
-1 |
-17 |
Adrian Peterson may get the same number of carries but his yards per carry and touchdown production (fewer Red Zone and Goal Line opportunities) are down.
ADRIAN PETERSON |
RUSH |
YARDS |
YPC |
TD |
RECYD |
RECTD |
POS RANK |
With Brett Favre |
322 |
1459 |
4.5 |
14 |
299 |
1 |
3RD |
Without Brett Favre |
320 |
1362 |
4.3 |
12 |
270 |
1 |
3RD |
DIFFERENCE |
-2 |
-97 |
-0.3 |
-2 |
-29 |
-- |
-- |
The Vikings receivers take the biggest hit by far with receptions, yards per reception, TDs and position ranking all down significantly without Favre.
SIDNEY RICE |
REC |
RECYD |
YPR |
RECTD |
POS RANK |
With Brett Favre |
70 |
1101 |
15.7 |
9 |
11TH |
Without Brett Favre |
58 |
830 |
14.3 |
4 |
34TH |
DIFFERENCE |
-12 |
-271 |
-1.4 |
-5 |
-23 |
PERCY HARVIN |
REC |
RECYD |
YPR |
RECTD |
RUSHYD |
OTHER TD |
POS RANK |
With Brett Favre |
63 |
828 |
13.1 |
6 |
352 |
3 |
2ND |
Without Brett Favre |
57 |
698 |
12.2 |
4 |
334 |
3 |
10TH |
DIFFERENCE |
-6 |
-130 |
-0.9 |
-2 |
-18 |
-- |
-8 |
BERNARD BERRIAN |
REC |
RECYD |
YPR |
RECTD |
POS RANK |
With Brett Favre |
53 |
816 |
15.4 |
4 |
40TH |
Without Brett Favre |
47 |
579 |
12.3 |
3 |
49TH |
DIFFERENCE |
-6 |
-237 |
-3.1 |
-1 |
-9 |
