The LeBron-Wade-Bosh Super Team Scenario
- Thursday, July 8, 2010 1:03 PM
- Written By: AccuScore
By Jonathan Lee and Stephen Oh
AccuScore.com
The word floating around is that LeBron James, on his televised “Decision” Thursday night, will choose to sign with Miami Heat and form a super team with Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh. This type of superstar trio is unprecedented, and would obviously make the future of the NBA very intriguing.
With the Heat having just four players under contract before LeBron (Wade, Bosh, Chalmers, Beasley) we had to make assumptions based on average players that could be signed at the minimum to fill out the rest of the roster. The trio signing with an Eastern Conference team allows it rack the victories more easily as the last team with the best record, Cleveland, becomes significantly worse and creates more available “easy” wins.
Full NBA seasons were projected 10,000 times with all the current free agents moves and LeBron in Miami. Here are some interesting numbers for the Heat:
- The average record is 67-15, best in the NBA
- Best record in any simulation was 79-3 (1 in 10,000)
- Worst record in any simulation was 40-42
- Chance of winning 73+ games is 19.3% (NBA win record)
- Chance of winning 72+ games is 24.6% (ties Bulls win record)
- Chance of winning 60+ games is 79.4%
In our simulations when a game is a complete blowout the starters end up playing fewer minutes which limits the statistical output of this trio. In simulations AccuScore uses player performance stats based on their career numbers so the statistical line for the three stars are comparable to previous years with a slight reduction. All three could post more impressive lines if they went for numbers, but this is unlikely.
- Lebron James: 27.8 Points, 7.5 Rebounds, 7.7 Assists
- Dwyane Wade: 27.0 Points, 4.8 Rebounds, 7.0 Assists
- Chris Bosh: 22.3 Points, 9.6 Rebounds, 1.8 Assists
