Eagles are Better with Vick

  • Tuesday, September 21, 2010 12:50 PM
  • Written By: AccuScore

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By Stephen Oh and Jonathan Lee

AccuScore approves of Andy Reid’s decision to stick with Michael Vick as the starting quarterback.  The Eagles’ playoff chances are 8.8% better with Vick starting over Kevin Kolb for the rest of the season.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

W

L

%

DIV

PLAYOFF

Kevin Kolb Starting

8.1

7.9

50.6%

28.9%

40.6%

Michael Vick Starting

8.7

7.3

54.4%

35.6%

49.4%

Vick Value

0.6

-0.6

3.8%

6.7%

8.8%

The NFC East is forecasted to be extremely close regardless of who start at quarterback for Philly. In the overall season projection the switch at quarterback makes the Eagles go from having the third best chance of winning the division to the number one spot.

KOLB STARTING FOR EAGLES

W

L

%

DIV

PLAYOFF

New York Giants

8.4

7.6

52.5%

32.1%

45.2%

Dallas Cowboys

8.2

7.8

51.3%

29.9%

41.3%

Philadelphia Eagles

8.1

7.9

50.6%

28.9%

40.6%

Washington Redskins

6.8

9.2

42.5%

9.1%

17.4%

VICK STARTING FOR EAGLES

W

L

%

DIV

PLAYOFF

Philadelphia Eagles

8.7

7.3

54.4%

35.6%

49.4%

New York Giants

8.4

7.6

52.5%

30.6%

44.1%

Dallas Cowboys

8.1

7.9

50.6%

26.1%

37.9%

Washington Redskins

6.8

9.2

42.5%

7.7%

16.8%

The move was not an easy one to make when taking contracts into account as the Eagles signed Kolb to a lucrative two-year extension back in April. Kolb signed for $12.25 million, but $11.4 million of that is guaranteed for THIS season. Vick on the other hand has an incentive-laden non-guaranteed contract that will more than likely increase in price for Philly now that he is the full-time starter.

Closer Report - MLB Week 2

  • Wednesday, April 21, 2010 8:17 AM
  • Written By: AccuScore

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Week 2 of baseball is in the books and injuries and performance have led to changes in bullpens. It’s time for the Closer Report.

AL

Closer

Back-up to own

BAL

Jim Johnson**

Mike Gonzalez (DL), Mickolio

BOS

Jonathan Papelbon

Daniel Bard

CHW

Bobby Jenks

Matt Thornton

CLE

Chris Perez

Jensen Lewis, Kerry Wood (DL)

DET

Jose Valverde

Ryan Perry

KC

Joakim Soria

Juan Cruz

LAA

Fernando Rodney**

Brian Fuentes (DL)

MIN

Jon Rauch

Matt Guerrier

NYY

Mariano Rivera

Joba Chamberlain

OAK

Andrew Bailey

Brad Ziegler

SEA

David Aardsma

Brandon League

TB

Rafael Soriano

Grant Balfour

TEX

Neftali Feliz**

Frank Francisco

TOR

Kevin Gregg

Jason Frasor

**temporary closer

• Cito Gaston made a change this past week saying Jason Frasor would pitch the 8th inning with Kevin Gregg as the closer. Honestly I don’t really think this makes a difference for Toronto, but it makes all the difference in fantasy leagues. While Gregg has the potential to blow-up and lose the job down the line, he looks very good thus far. The big change appears to be a cutter that he is throwing nearly 18% of the time compared to just 2% of the time before this season. Gregg has yet to walk a batter and is generating more ground balls than in the past. He looks like a safe bet for 25+ saves.

• Brian Fuentes should be ready to come off the DL by Wednesday or Thursday. Rodney is still worth owning since he is the clear back-up, and Fuentes isn’t the safest closer now that the Angels have another bullpen option.

• The situation in Arizona does not look good. Chad Qualls has blown two of three save chances and has allowed runs in four of his six appearances. Juan Gutierrez got a chance on 4/16 (Qualls had pitched the 2 days prior) and was a disaster allowing 2 walks, a double, and a home run resulting in 4 runs. Qualls still gets the next chance, but if he continues to falter there aren’t a lot of other options currently on the roster. The Diamondbacks might need to make a move soon. Their entire bullpen is not performing.

• Jon Rauch continues to sail along with a MLB-leading 6 saves.

• The other unlikely leader in saves is Matt Capps, also with 6. Capps walked 5 batters and allowed 3 hits in his first 3 innings. Since then he’s gone 4.1 IP with 0 BB and 4 hits allowed. It won’t ever be pretty, but Capps will probably keep getting you saves as along as he stays healthy.

• Chris Perez blew up on 4/11 walking 3 and blowing a save followed by another poor outing (0 IP, 1 BB, 1 H). He has since made an adjustment and closed out his last two games without incident. Kerry Wood still needs to throw in a simulated game and then a rehab assignment so Perez will keep the job probably through the end of the month.

• There were no rogue saves the past 7 days in the majors, but a couple relievers are emerging to join Matt Thornton as dominant set-up I would possible own even in standard mixed leagues. Randy Williams (CWS) has 8 Ks in 6.1 IP and Edward Mujica (SD) has 11 K in 9.1 IP. Both come with some risk as Williams already has 7 BB and Mujica has allowed 2 HR. I would continue to watch both as they should be free agents in all but the deepest leagues.

Three-Way Deal Sends Kevin Martin to Rockets, T-Mac to Knicks, Landry to Kings

  • Thursday, February 18, 2010 12:28 PM
  • Written By: AccuScore

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First, the moving parts:

Houston:  Kevin Martin, Jared Jeffries, Jordan Hill, Hilton Armstrong, 2012 protected first-rounder
New York:  Tracy McGrady, Sergio Rodriguez
Sacramento:  Carl Landry, Larry Hughes, Joey Dorsey

The Knicks also previously sent Darko to Minnesota and waived the incoming Brian Cardinal.  J.R. Giddens and Bill Walker are added to the bench in the Nate Robinson deal, which also sent Marcus Landry to Boston.

Houston looks like a big winner here getting Martin and lots of draft considerations while unloading McGrady.  That did not come without a price however having to take on Jeffries’ contract while losing Landry.

HOUSTON ROCKETS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

28

26

51.9%

--

--

--

Before Trade Deadline

42.4

39.6

51.7%

1.2%

26.4%

9TH

After Trade Deadline

42.2

39.8

51.5%

1.0%

26.0%

10TH

Trade Impact

-0.2

0.2

-0.2%

-0.2%

-0.4%

-1

Per Game Impact

-0.7%

 

 

 

 

 

The trade hurts the Rockets on paper mostly because of how terrific Landry has been this season.  He should garner serious consideration for Sixth Man of the year.  Martin, though, gives Houston an über-efficient scorer at the two which will also allow Trevor Ariza to shift to a more comfortable 3rd-scorer role.  Martin has not been great this season, but has been slowed by injuries. 

Overall, the trade actually pushes Houston from 9th to 10th in the competitive Western Conference, but 2010 is not the goal.  Next season is the target for Houston when presumably Yao will be back allowing Scola, Ariza, Hayes and the like to play much more defined roles.  A backcourt of Martin and Brooks might be tough to pass defensively, but the presence of Ariza and Shane Battier as a pair of perimeter stoppers helps there.  Jeffries actually can help here as well.  Even though his contract is terrible, he has plenty of value as a defensive role player.

NEW YORK KNICKS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

19

34

35.8%

--

--

--

Before Trade Deadline

31.3

50.7

38.2%

0.0%

1.9%

10TH

After Trade Deadline

29.7

52.3

36.2%

0.0%

0.7%

10TH

Trade Impact

-1.6

1.6

-2.0%

0.0%

-1.2%

--

Per Game Impact

-5.5%

 

 

 

 

 

New York is projected to be -5.5 percent worse per game this season losing 1.6 more games than before all these moves.  That is terrific news for Utah which owns the Knicks’ first-round pick.  As for the Knicks, their dream scenario is now possible: two maximum salary slots available for this summer.  It cost them their 2012 pick, and maybe their 2011 pick as well (Houston has the right to swap picks as long as it isn’t No.1 overall). 

Also, the moves also probably will end up costing David Lee because he will be a free agent and would need to be renounced in order to sign two max guys.  Just over half a season was enough for the team to deem Jordan Hill expendable marking yet another New York mistake.  T-Mac might get a chance to prove himself now on the court, and Rodriguez will get yet another to chance to prove he can play at this level.  New York saved about $1 million extra by sending out Darko.  The guess is that David Kahn just wanted to experience Darko for himself.  There is no other explanation for Minnesota.

The Kings got cap relief, and a great young (and affordable) forward in Landry.  His contract has an option for $3 million next season.  While Sacramento won’t be a destination for Wade, LeBron, Bosh and the like, the oodles of space does make them a player for mid-tier guys and as a facilitator of future trades.  The Kings can now build around a core of Tyreke Evans, Omri Casspi, Landry, and Jason Thompson.  Not bad at all. 

Landry’s productivity actually improves Sacramento’s outlook for this season by +1.2 wins, or 4.3 percent per game, quite the impact for a former second round pick.

SACRMENTO KINGS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

18

36

33.3%

--

--

--

Before Trade Deadline

28.8

53.2

35.1%

0.0%

0.0%

13TH

After Trade Deadline

30.0

52.0

36.6%

0.0%

0.0%

12TH

Trade Impact

1.2

-1.2

1.5%

0.0%

0.0%

+1

Per Game Impact

4.3%