Portland Makes Move, Nabs Camby From The Clippers

  • Tuesday, February 16, 2010 12:05 PM
  • Written By: AccuScore

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The Portland Trail Blazers have defied the odds this season battling through injuries to sit in 8th place in the Western Conference at the All-Star break.  Without their two centers – Greg Oden and Joel Przybilla – the Blazers looked unlikely to seriously compete this season.  GM Kevin Pritchard filled that void in the middle perfectly though acquiring Marcus Camby for Travis Outlaw and Steve Blake.  Camby is 2nd in the league in rebounding, and is still a defensive presence with his shot-blocking, and should assimilate perfectly into Portland’s lineup.

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

31

24

56.4%

--

--

--

Projected before trade

44.8

37.2

54.6%

2.3%

65.7%

8TH

Projected after trade

45.9

36.1

56.0%

4.0%

74.7%

8TH

Trade Impact

1.1

-1.1

1.3%

1.7%

9.0%

--

Per Game Impact

4.1%

 

 

 

 

 

Portland is projected to improve by slightly more than a game over the remaining 27 games of the season (+4.1 percent per game).  While the Blazers are still projected to finish 8th, things could change rapidly as the current gap between themselves and the Jazz in 3rd place is just 3 games.  If Portland were to improve one game today, it would jump all the way to 5th in the standings so this move is huge.  Blake had become superfluous with the emergence of Jerryd Bayless in the backcourt, and Outlaw’s injury status is still murky.  While the team likely wanted to keep Outlaw, the need in the middle was greater and Camby is the best player available to fill that void.

 

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

21

31

40.4%

--

--

--

Projected before trade

32.1

49.9

39.1%

0.0%

0.1%

12TH

Projected after trade

29.8

52.2

36.3%

0.0%

0.0%

13TH

Trade Impact

-2.3

2.3

-2.8%

0.0%

-0.1%

-1

Per Game Impact

-7.7%

 

 

 

 

 

Losing Camby is obviously a huge blow to the Clippers.  L.A. is more than 2 games worse over the remaining 30 games of the season (-7.7 percent a night).  Camby also reportedly loved Los Angeles, and wanted to re-sign with the team over the summer.  The Clippers, though, have yet to see rookie Blake Griffin on the floor, and are 8.5 games behind Portland for the final playoff spot in the West.  Competing this season is not the goal so losing 2-3 more games in 2010 is negligible. 

The trade works for the Clippers on several levels. The trade also frees minutes for the highly productive Craig Smith at PF.  It also opens minutes for youngster DeAndre Jordan who has shown flashes of being a nice player inside.  Getting him more playing time should be a focus for the team. Blake is probably a better back-up option than Sebastian Telfair, but he’s still just a reserve.  He will be a free agent after the season.  Outlaw could be a nice player on the wing, but he is still currently injured and it is unknown when he will be back this season.  Having Outlaw’s rights though is an advantage given the fact that he should be a wanted commodity in the offseason. Holding the rights to both players frees plenty of cap room this offseason.

Impact of Chris Paul's Injury

  • Monday, February 1, 2010 1:35 PM
  • Written By: AccuScore

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Since a disastrous 3-8 start that led to the firing of head coach Byron Scott, the Hornets have gone 23-13 to take over the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference.  Now however comes the hard part as superstar point guard Chris Paul is expected to miss an extended period of time with a cartilage tear in his left knee.  He is expected to undergo arthroscopic surgeryin the next couple of days.

The timetable of this injury varies with reports ranging from 1-2 months.  Before Paul was injured, AccuScore projected the Hornets to finish with a record of 45-37 with a 60% chance of making the postseason.  With Paul out 1 month, the Hornets are projected to be 2 games worse at 43-39 with a 49% chance of making the playoffs.  Under this scenario, New Orleans would still be right in the thick of the race and could possibly survive this injury.  If however Paul is out 2 months, the Hornets are probably doomed as they are projected to be yet another 2 games worse at 41-41.  A .500 record won’t cut in the West, and leaves the team with just a 34% chance at the postseason.

 

Projected Record

Playoff Probability

Difference

With Paul

45-37

60%

----

Paul out 1 month

43-39

49%

-11%

Paul out 2 months

41-41

34%

-26%

Without the benefit of a top-20 pick, the Hornets quietly had one of the best hauls in 2009 by selecting UCLA point guard Darren Collison and acquiring LSU scorer Marcus Thornton, and it’s a good thing they did.  Collison recently set the team’s rookie assist mark with 18, and Thornton has recently joined the starting lineup averaging 12.2 points and shooting 42% from three-point range in the month of January.

Both rookies will be heavily relied upon now with Paul out for an extended period.  While both have shown flashes of brilliance they both will now have to navigate the tough Western Conference without the steadying presence of a veteran.  Thornton has only recently joined the starting five after a trade sent Devin Brown to Chicago.  Bobby Brown was also sent to the Clippers.  Both moves were for salary cap reasons leaving the two rookies to fend for themselves.  The only other guard currently on the roster is Morris Peterson.  He played just 15 minutes all of January prior to Saturday.  The playoff hopes of New Orleans rest on a pair of rookies in the backcourt, not exactly a recipe for success in the NBA.