NBA Trade Deadline Review

  • Thursday, February 24, 2011 11:20 AM
  • Written By: AccuScore

Share:

What began as the conclusion to the endless Carmelo Anthony rumors and the surprising Deron Williams trade quickly escalated into a full-blown NBA swap meet. The 2010-11 season clearly has shifted the landscape in professional basketball, and brought about perhaps the busiest trade deadline ever.

Boston and Oklahoma City pulled off the most shocking move of the day. The Thunder acquired Kendrick Perkins and Nate Robinson for Jeff Green and Nenad Kristic. OKC also got Nazr Mohammed from the Bobcats in a separate trade for D.J. White and Mo Peterson. The Celtics weren’t done with this move either. They sent away Luke Harangody and Semih Erden to Cleveland for draft picks, presumably to open up roster space for buyout candidates. Marquis Daniels was also traded to Sacramento for cash considerations.

The rumored trade involving Gerald Wallace from Wednesday came to fruition on deadline day. Wallace joins Portland in exchange for Joel Pryzbilla, Dante Cunningham, and draft picks. Phoenix picked up Aaron Brooks from Houston for Goran Dragic and a 1st round pick. Houston also dealt Shane Battier back to Memphis for Hasheem Thabeet and another 1st round pick. Late Wednesday night also brought about Baron Davis being sent to Cleveland in exchange for Mo Williams.

AccuScore re-simulated the rest of the regular season after the flurry of trades had passed.

BT = before trade deadline
AT = after trade deadline

REST OF SEASON WINS REST OF SEASON WIN% PLAYOFF CHANCES
TEAM W (BT) W (AT) W (+/-) W (BT) W (AT) W (+/-) PO (BT) PO (AT) PO (+/-)
Boston Celtics 18.7 17.9 -0.8 69.3% 66.4% -2.9% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Bobcats 10.8 10.7 -0.1 43.2% 42.7% -0.5% 25.6% 27.6% 2.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers 4.7 4.7 0.0 19.0% 18.8% -0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Rockets 10.6 10.6 0.1 46.0% 46.3% 0.3% 11.1% 10.1% -1.0%
LA Clippers 10.4 10.3 -0.1 43.1% 42.9% -0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Memphis Grizzlies 11.2 12.2 1.0 48.6% 52.9% 4.3% 64.6% 73.4% 8.8%
Phoenix Suns 12.0 12.1 0.1 44.3% 44.7% 0.4% 24.0% 22.6% -1.4%
Portland Trail Blazers 13.7 13.7 0.0 54.7% 54.7% 0.0% 87.5% 86.7% -0.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder 15.7 16.1 0.3 60.5% 61.8% 1.3% 99.7% 99.8% 0.1%

Here are some key findings:

  • Boston obviously still remains a lock for the playoffs, but its per game win percentage dropped -2.9 percent. More importantly, the Celtics’ chances of winning the No. 1 seed fell from 36 to 32 percent. Miami is in firm control of the East.
  • Oklahoma City only improved its per game winning percentage slightly at 1.3 percent, but the full benefit of picking up two centers in Perkins and Mohammed will be more evident in the playoffs agaisnt teams like the Spurs, Lakers and Mavericks. The Thunder have long coveted a defensive center, and now have the size to deal with the Lakers and Spurs in the West.
  • Charlotte is currently in 9th in the East trailing Indiana by 1.5 games. While the Bobcats lost their best player and are projected for fewer wins, they actually gained two percent in playoff probability due to the overall movement at the deadline.
  • Shane Battier is not projected for big numbers with Memphis, but the Grizzlies did improve their playoff chances the most at +8.8 percent. He will serve as a nice replacement to the player he was originally traded for, Rudy Gay. Memphis also unsuccessfully tried to trade O.J. Mayo to Indiana for Josh McRoberts.

Three-Way Deal Sends Kevin Martin to Rockets, T-Mac to Knicks, Landry to Kings

  • Thursday, February 18, 2010 12:28 PM
  • Written By: AccuScore

Share:

 

First, the moving parts:

Houston:  Kevin Martin, Jared Jeffries, Jordan Hill, Hilton Armstrong, 2012 protected first-rounder
New York:  Tracy McGrady, Sergio Rodriguez
Sacramento:  Carl Landry, Larry Hughes, Joey Dorsey

The Knicks also previously sent Darko to Minnesota and waived the incoming Brian Cardinal.  J.R. Giddens and Bill Walker are added to the bench in the Nate Robinson deal, which also sent Marcus Landry to Boston.

Houston looks like a big winner here getting Martin and lots of draft considerations while unloading McGrady.  That did not come without a price however having to take on Jeffries’ contract while losing Landry.

HOUSTON ROCKETS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

28

26

51.9%

--

--

--

Before Trade Deadline

42.4

39.6

51.7%

1.2%

26.4%

9TH

After Trade Deadline

42.2

39.8

51.5%

1.0%

26.0%

10TH

Trade Impact

-0.2

0.2

-0.2%

-0.2%

-0.4%

-1

Per Game Impact

-0.7%

 

 

 

 

 

The trade hurts the Rockets on paper mostly because of how terrific Landry has been this season.  He should garner serious consideration for Sixth Man of the year.  Martin, though, gives Houston an über-efficient scorer at the two which will also allow Trevor Ariza to shift to a more comfortable 3rd-scorer role.  Martin has not been great this season, but has been slowed by injuries. 

Overall, the trade actually pushes Houston from 9th to 10th in the competitive Western Conference, but 2010 is not the goal.  Next season is the target for Houston when presumably Yao will be back allowing Scola, Ariza, Hayes and the like to play much more defined roles.  A backcourt of Martin and Brooks might be tough to pass defensively, but the presence of Ariza and Shane Battier as a pair of perimeter stoppers helps there.  Jeffries actually can help here as well.  Even though his contract is terrible, he has plenty of value as a defensive role player.

NEW YORK KNICKS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

19

34

35.8%

--

--

--

Before Trade Deadline

31.3

50.7

38.2%

0.0%

1.9%

10TH

After Trade Deadline

29.7

52.3

36.2%

0.0%

0.7%

10TH

Trade Impact

-1.6

1.6

-2.0%

0.0%

-1.2%

--

Per Game Impact

-5.5%

 

 

 

 

 

New York is projected to be -5.5 percent worse per game this season losing 1.6 more games than before all these moves.  That is terrific news for Utah which owns the Knicks’ first-round pick.  As for the Knicks, their dream scenario is now possible: two maximum salary slots available for this summer.  It cost them their 2012 pick, and maybe their 2011 pick as well (Houston has the right to swap picks as long as it isn’t No.1 overall). 

Also, the moves also probably will end up costing David Lee because he will be a free agent and would need to be renounced in order to sign two max guys.  Just over half a season was enough for the team to deem Jordan Hill expendable marking yet another New York mistake.  T-Mac might get a chance to prove himself now on the court, and Rodriguez will get yet another to chance to prove he can play at this level.  New York saved about $1 million extra by sending out Darko.  The guess is that David Kahn just wanted to experience Darko for himself.  There is no other explanation for Minnesota.

The Kings got cap relief, and a great young (and affordable) forward in Landry.  His contract has an option for $3 million next season.  While Sacramento won’t be a destination for Wade, LeBron, Bosh and the like, the oodles of space does make them a player for mid-tier guys and as a facilitator of future trades.  The Kings can now build around a core of Tyreke Evans, Omri Casspi, Landry, and Jason Thompson.  Not bad at all. 

Landry’s productivity actually improves Sacramento’s outlook for this season by +1.2 wins, or 4.3 percent per game, quite the impact for a former second round pick.

SACRMENTO KINGS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

18

36

33.3%

--

--

--

Before Trade Deadline

28.8

53.2

35.1%

0.0%

0.0%

13TH

After Trade Deadline

30.0

52.0

36.6%

0.0%

0.0%

12TH

Trade Impact

1.2

-1.2

1.5%

0.0%

0.0%

+1

Per Game Impact

4.3%

 

 

 

 

 

Bucks Make 2 Deals, Acquire Salmons - Bobcats Get Thomas

  • Thursday, February 18, 2010 12:25 PM
  • Written By: AccuScore

Share:

The Bucks made two moves at the deadline swapping Joe Alexander and Hakim Warrick for John Salmons from Chicago, and sending Jodie Meeks and Francisco Elson to Philadelphia for Primoz Brezec, Royal Ivey, and a 2nd round pick.

MILWAUKEE BUCKS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

24

28

46.2%

--

--

--

Before Trade Deadline

38.9

43.1

47.4%

0.0%

53.0%

9TH

After Trade Deadline

37.9

44.1

46.2%

0.0%

43.2%

9TH

Trade Impact

-1.0

1.0

-1.2%

0.0%

-9.8%

--

Per Game Impact

-3.3%

 

 

 

 

 

Milwaukee picked up some assets for several players that were no longer in their plans.  That makes these moves fairly solid despite being projected to be 3.3% worse per night this season.  Alexander hasn’t played at all this season while Meeks, Elson, and Warrick were not in the regular rotation.  Salmons hasn’t played great basketball this season, but it’s possible he could bounce back some being more of a focal point on offense in Milwaukee and just being asked to score.  The Bucks still have a solid 43.2% chance of making the playoffs.

The Sixers pick up a young player with some upside in Meeks.

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

20

33

37.7%

--

--

--

Before Trade Deadline

29.9

42.1

41.5%

0.0%

0.8%

12TH

After Trade Deadline

29.2

52.8

35.6%

0.0%

0.9%

13TH

Trade Impact

-0.7

10.7

-5.9%

0.0%

0.1%

-1

Per Game Impact

-2.4%

 

 

 

 

 

The big winner in the Salmons trade though is the Bulls.  Chicago cleared $5.8 million owed to Salmons from their 2011 books giving them enough room for a max deal making a serious run at Dwyane Wade possible.  Combined with their deal with Charlotte sending away Tyrus Thomas for Flip Murray and Acie Law makes deadline day as a great success for Chicago. 

Warrick should be very capable of replacing Thomas very easily without the attitude problems.  Flip Murray fits Salmons role of being a bench perimeter scorer very well.  Better yet, the deal does not impact Chicago’s cap space negatively.  Projections actually have the Bulls better after shedding both Thomas and Salmons.

CHICAGO BULLS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

27

26

50.9%

--

--

--

Before Trade Deadline

43.0

39.0

52.4%

0.0%

91.0%

6TH

After Trade Deadline

43.6

38.4

53.2%

0.0%

92.5%

6TH

Trade Impact

0.6

-0.6

0.7%

0.0%

1.5%

--

Per Game Impact

2.1%

 

 

 

 

 

Charlotte adds a talented player in Thomas to its frontcourt.  He still has some upside as a nice athlete that is still very young (23 yrs.).  He does come with issues however as he clashed often with his coaches in Chicago, and will have to learn to get along with the tough-nosed Larry Brown with the Bobcats.   Thomas does though provide an alternative to Boris Diaw, and is certainly better than the other available options (Stephen Graham, Derrick Brown, et al).  Charlotte might miss Flip Murray the most with D.J. Augustin being the only semi-reliable reserve guard on the roster behind Raymond Felton and Stephen Jackson.

CHARLOTTE BOBCATS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

26

26

50.0%

--

--

--

Before Trade Deadline

40.3

41.7

49.1%

0.0%

72.0%

8TH

After Trade Deadline

40.4

41.6

49.3%

0.0%

74.0%

8TH

Trade Impact

0.1

-0.1

0.1%

0.0%

2.0%

--

Per Game Impact

0.3%

 

 

 

 

 

Grizzlies Add Brewer to the Bench

  • Thursday, February 18, 2010 12:24 PM
  • Written By: AccuScore

Share:

The Grizzlies made an under-the-radar deal at the wire getting swingman Ronnie Brewer from the Jazz right at the deadline for a draft pick.  Interestingly, this deal might have made the biggest impact basketball-wise of all the trades made in the past few days.

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

27

26

50.9%

--

--

--

Before Trade Deadline

38.5

43.6

46.9%

0.5%

5.2%

11TH

After Trade Deadline

40.0

42.0

48.8%

0.7%

10.0%

11TH

Trade Impact

1.5

-1.6

1.9%

0.2%

4.8%

--

Per Game Impact

5.2%

 

 

 

 

 

Brewer is on an expiring deal, but will be a restricted free agent.  That means Memphis will probably be able to resign him on the cheap if it chooses to.  He is making a big impact on the Grizzlies – +1.5 wins over the rest of the season including a 10% boost in their playoff chances – because the bench has been so bad.  Brewer will easily outplay the likes of Sam Young and DeMarre Carroll as the first wing off the bench.  Great move for Memphis.

The Jazz dump salary, get another mid-first round pick, and open minutes for C.J. Miles, Kyle Korver, and Wes Matthews with very little change to their season projection.

UTAH JAZZ

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

34

19

64.2%

--

--

--

Before Trade Deadline

51.7

30.3

63.0%

35.9%

98.0%

3RD

After Trade Deadline

51.4

30.6

62.7%

34.0%

98.0%

3RD

Trade Impact

-0.3

0.3

-0.4%

-1.9%

0.0%

--

Per Game Impact

-1.0%

 

 

 

 

 

0 Takes  Submit Your Take   |   View All Takes

Cavs Pull Off 3-Team Deal, Acquire Antawn Jamison

  • Wednesday, February 17, 2010 1:11 PM
  • Written By: AccuScore

Share:

Cleveland:  Antawn Jamison, Sebastian Telfair
Los Angeles Clippers:  Drew Gooden
Washington: Zydrunas Ilgasukas, Al Thornton, Brian Skinner, 1st round pick (from CLE)

In the biggest deal so far this trading season, the Cavaliers got LeBron James another sidekick by acquiring Antawn Jamison from the Wizards.  The kicker here is that the team didn’t even have to give up J.J. Hickson to do it.  Zydrunas Ilgauskas goes to Washington, but the Cavs operate better with Varejao at center so this loss of Big Z is immaterial (except in Nike puppet commercials). 

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

43

11

79.6%

--

--

--

Projected before trade

62.4

19.6

76.1%

100.0%

100.0%

1ST

Projected after trade

62.9

19.1

76.7%

100.0%

100.0%

1ST

Trade Impact

0.5

-0.5

0.6%

0.0%

0.0%

--

Per Game Impact

1.8%

 

 

 

 

 

The trade bumps up Cleveland’s projected record to a tidy 63-19 for the season and the projected leader for homecourt throughout the playoffs (+1.8 percent per game).  This ends any talk of Amare to the Cavs.  One reason why GM Danny Ferry would prefer this trade is the ability to keep Hickson in the fold.  Jamison also might be a better fit at power forward in a small(er) lineup with Varejao and James in the frontcourt.  Jamison is also a very low turnover guy, and is known as a good team player.  He won’t upset the nice balance the Cavs are cultivated thus far this season.  One question Cleveland will have to answer is the glut they have now at power forward.  Hickson, Varejao, Jamison and the soon-to-return Leon Powe will be fighting it out for minutes.  Also, if the Cavs don’t win the title, they will have to wonder forever if Amare would have gotten them across the finish line.

Washington is in full-scale sell mode shedding every salary they can.  The team needs to rebuild completely starting through the draft.  Even if the pick they pick-up from Cleveland is low, it is still a valuable asset.  Every loss this season also means more ping-pong balls in the John Wall lottery.

WASHINGTON WIZARDS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

17

33

34.0%

--

--

--

Projected before trade

28.1

53.9

34.3%

0.0%

0.3%

14TH

Projected after trade

25.7

56.3

31.3%

0.0%

0.0%

14TH

Trade Impact

-2.4

2.4

-2.9%

0.0%

-0.3%

+1

Per Game Impact

-7.5%

 

 

 

 

 

The Clippers had nothing to gain (personnel-wise) by becoming a part of this deal.  They did it to clear enough salary space to create a max-salary slot for this upcoming season.  Drew Gooden is probably going to be waived, so the projected impact of this trade for this season on the Clippers is immaterial.  What it does do is clear Thornton and Telfair from the books leaving Baron Davis, Eric Gordon, Blake Griffin and Chris Kaman on the roster for 2010-11.  DeAndre Jordan has a team option that will probably be exercised.  I wonder who is available that would fit at the small forward spot and will be a free agent?  Hmmm….

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

21

32

39.6%

--

--

--

Projected before trade

29.3

52.7

35.7%

0.0%

0.0%

13TH

Projected after trade

30.1

51.9

36.7%

0.0%

0.0%

 

Trade Impact

0.8

-0.8

1.0%

0.0%

0.0%

+1

Per Game Impact

2.8%

 

 

 

 

 

Portland Makes Move, Nabs Camby From The Clippers

  • Tuesday, February 16, 2010 7:05 AM
  • Written By: AccuScore

Share:

The Portland Trail Blazers have defied the odds this season battling through injuries to sit in 8th place in the Western Conference at the All-Star break.  Without their two centers – Greg Oden and Joel Przybilla – the Blazers looked unlikely to seriously compete this season.  GM Kevin Pritchard filled that void in the middle perfectly though acquiring Marcus Camby for Travis Outlaw and Steve Blake.  Camby is 2nd in the league in rebounding, and is still a defensive presence with his shot-blocking, and should assimilate perfectly into Portland’s lineup.

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

31

24

56.4%

--

--

--

Projected before trade

44.8

37.2

54.6%

2.3%

65.7%

8TH

Projected after trade

45.9

36.1

56.0%

4.0%

74.7%

8TH

Trade Impact

1.1

-1.1

1.3%

1.7%

9.0%

--

Per Game Impact

4.1%

 

 

 

 

 

Portland is projected to improve by slightly more than a game over the remaining 27 games of the season (+4.1 percent per game).  While the Blazers are still projected to finish 8th, things could change rapidly as the current gap between themselves and the Jazz in 3rd place is just 3 games.  If Portland were to improve one game today, it would jump all the way to 5th in the standings so this move is huge.  Blake had become superfluous with the emergence of Jerryd Bayless in the backcourt, and Outlaw’s injury status is still murky.  While the team likely wanted to keep Outlaw, the need in the middle was greater and Camby is the best player available to fill that void.

 

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS

W

L

%

WIN DIV

PLAYOFF

CONF

Current Record

21

31

40.4%

--

--

--

Projected before trade

32.1

49.9

39.1%

0.0%

0.1%

12TH

Projected after trade

29.8

52.2

36.3%

0.0%

0.0%

13TH

Trade Impact

-2.3

2.3

-2.8%

0.0%

-0.1%

-1

Per Game Impact

-7.7%

 

 

 

 

 

Losing Camby is obviously a huge blow to the Clippers.  L.A. is more than 2 games worse over the remaining 30 games of the season (-7.7 percent a night).  Camby also reportedly loved Los Angeles, and wanted to re-sign with the team over the summer.  The Clippers, though, have yet to see rookie Blake Griffin on the floor, and are 8.5 games behind Portland for the final playoff spot in the West.  Competing this season is not the goal so losing 2-3 more games in 2010 is negligible. 

The trade works for the Clippers on several levels. The trade also frees minutes for the highly productive Craig Smith at PF.  It also opens minutes for youngster DeAndre Jordan who has shown flashes of being a nice player inside.  Getting him more playing time should be a focus for the team. Blake is probably a better back-up option than Sebastian Telfair, but he’s still just a reserve.  He will be a free agent after the season.  Outlaw could be a nice player on the wing, but he is still currently injured and it is unknown when he will be back this season.  Having Outlaw’s rights though is an advantage given the fact that he should be a wanted commodity in the offseason. Holding the rights to both players frees plenty of cap room this offseason.