Rolling with the Heels of Tar in the NIT Championship!

  • Thursday, April 1, 2010 8:30 AM
  • Written By: Jonathan Cash

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Your "Bad Beat" for Wednesday is on:

Mavericks (under 205) at Memphis.

A small consolation prize right here to any LA Clipper backers who watched their cash go up in smoke. The Clips led outright by five at the half, and when combined with the 10 points they were getting in the game were up by 15 with only 24 minutes of basketball to be played. But in typical NBA fashion they then were pummeled in a despicable second half loser in Toronto.

The "Bad Beat" of the day comes also from the NBA hardwoods where the Mavericks were in Memphis tangling with the Grizzlies. This game had under pace written all over it. Memphis led 73-67 after three quarters and after only 40 points were scored in the fourth the game accumulated only 180.

Oh yeah, small problem though, as the game was tied up at 90 meaning an extra five minutes of overtime. The offenses then started clicking and in the end Dirk and the boys won the game 106-102 pushing this thing over that total and also covering the small road favorite number.



Your winner for Thursday is on:

2* North Carolina (plus 3) vs. Dayton.

A very poor 0-2 Wednesday as the last week or so has not been as planned.



One play on this extremely small Thursday slate as I'll grab whatever I can with the North Carolina Tar Heels. The regular season was an unmitigated disaster but it appears that Roy Williams' Heels have grown up and finally become an alright team. Zeller, Ginyard, Drew, Henson and a few others are starting to click and show us a glimpse of what North Carolina basketball is supposed to be.

The Heels won at both Mississippi State and UAB and just won in overtime against a very game Rhode Island squad that almost made the NCAA Tournament.

Dayton is a quality squad and Brian Gregory has his boys playing very well also. They went on the road and took care of business in hostile environments, like UNC, at Illinois and Cincinnati. The Flyers can bring it and will bring it after they ended the regular season in poor fashion as well but here at Madison Square Garden I can't help but scoop up some points with the Heels.

Look for a rough and tumble affair in which both teams have a chance to walk off the court as the victor and for the points to be huge in a potentially one or two point final.



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All About The Tar Heels!

  • Tuesday, March 30, 2010 8:10 AM
  • Written By: Jonathan Cash

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Your "Bad Beat" for Monday is on:

Knicks (over total of 217) at Utah.

No real tragic Bad Beats on Monday. But there's still always something.

To say that the Knicks are defensively challenged is being polite. That was the case once again in Utah yesterday in a major way or so it seemed.

Utah put 28 points on the board less than 8 minutes into the game and the score was a whopping 44-30 Jazz after a quarter. That's 74 points only 25% into the game. You're right at about 300 pace if that gets kept up.

It was then 64-60 at the half, again well above the pace needed for the high. 124 in the first half and only in the mid 90's in the second half. That should be no problem at all here in Salt Lake.

The Knicks outscored the Jazz 27-23 in the third and now only 43 points are needed in the fourth. After seeing 74 put on the board in the first quarter 43 should have been cake.

Well Utah outscored New York somehow only 16-11 in that final period as this thing stayed well under the total, somehow.



Your winner for Tuesday is on:

4* North Carolina (pk) vs. Rhode Island.

The last week has stunk, no other way around it. I lost that 4* on the St. Louis Billikens and I am officially now in a slump even with the 2* outright winner on the Hornets over the Lakers.



This price is just too cheap on Roy Williams' Heels. Sure I think North Carolina will win this game. That's not to take anything away from a good Rhode Island team but the Rams do not have the blue chip athletes of the Heels and in the end today at MSG we will see just that.

Forget about the horrific regular season. That was then and this is now. UNC just won brilliantly in Starkville against a very good Miss. State team and did the same in that last game at UAB. It's not a fluke beating the Bulldogs and Blazers in the road as this team is finally reaching a little bit of the level they were supposed to.

Thompson, Zeller, Ginyard, Henson, Drew and the boys from Chapel Hill are a lot more confident right now than at any point this season. UNC has always had the potential with their McDonald's All Americans. What happened earlier is anybody's guess because it was really really bad for the majority of the season.

But once again, that was then and this is now.

Rhode Island is pretty good and almost made the NCAA Tournament but I am starting to believe a bit in the Heels and will back them today.



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Tar Heels on Tuesday Baby!

  • Tuesday, March 23, 2010 9:50 AM
  • Written By: Jonathan Cash

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Your "Bad Beat" for Monday is on

Wisconsin GB (total of 123) at St. Louis.

Oh you poor under players!

The Phoenix and Billikens were playing defense and the over was just pretty much a pipedream for the over players.

The score was 27-25 St. Louis at the break and that pace stayed the same throughout the second half. Rick Majerus' squad could not pull away though and this thing went into overtime tied at 53, still under by 17 or so points.

Neither team mustered much of anything in the extra five minutes and to be exact each squad scored three points pushing this into double overtime.

So the game was still under even after an overtime session. The luck ran out though as Wiscy Green Bay was outscored 12-6 in double overtime and in the end St. Louis won the game 68-62 and it went over that total in semi ridiculous fashion!



Your winner for Tuesday is on:

3* North Carolina (plus 4 1/2) at UAB.

One play on Monday and it was a loser as Virginia Tech laying 4 1/2 won by 2. Back at it here.



One play today on this garbage slate and I'll back the Tar Heels plus some points for sure. The season has been horrible as Roy Williams' team has been as disappointing as disappointing could ever be but they finally showed some life in that upset win in Mississippi State.

The Bulldogs were up by 12 right away but Tyler Zeller and the boys kept with it and won basically at the buzzer. One game certainly does not make a team and will not change the fortunes of UNC but I do believe there is a bit of a renewed confidence and let's not forget how the Heels did take Georgia Tech to the wire in that first round of the ACC Tournament game.

UAB has had a quality season and almost made the field of 65. They were probably about 68 or 69 when all was said and done. The Blazers also seem to always rise up at home, where they are today, but I can see North Carolina win this game I really can.

It almost feels like a movie script where the terrible terrible season turns into a nice little ending as Zeller, Ginyard, Henson, Drew and the rest of the possibly improving Heels make it to the Garden for the NIT semis.

UAB is good but that's about it and North Carolina is still North Carolina...Maybe.



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Back the Rambling Wreck from Georgia Tech Against the Horrific Heels!

  • Thursday, March 11, 2010 12:05 AM
  • Written By: Jonathan Cash

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Your "Bad Beat" for Wednesday is on:

Weber State (minus 3 1/2) vs. Montana.

Weber State was the small favorite and had doubled up Montana at the half 40-20. Now let's be honest here this game was over.

Or not.

Anthony Johnson went ballistic and poured in 34 of his game high 42 points for the Grizzlies in the final 20 minutes and the impossible happened. Montana came all the way back and won the game 66-65 to capture the Big Sky title and an automatic berth in the NCAA tournament.

Oh and by the way Johnson netted his team's final 21 points of the game and broke the tournament record with the 42 points.

Up 20 freakin points, are you kidding me!?!?!?



Your winners for Thursday are on:

4* Georgia Tech (minus 3 1/2) vs. North Carolina.

3* Memphis (minus 6) vs. Houston.

2* Indiana (plus 8) vs. Northwestern.

Yet another winning day on Wednesday as the 4* play on Iowa State came through in the end thanks to a backdoor three with 19 seconds to go. I do have to say thanks for not fouling after that Cyclones, I owe you one!

North Carolina is a team that has shown absolutely nothing for the last two months and even in their home state should continue to show a whole lot of nothing. There is no more disappointing team in all of college basketball this season than the Tar Heels. They do have talent with Ginyard, Zeller and others and a Hall of Fame coach in Roy Williams but it just hasn't mattered. Sure Ed Davis is out but this team was fading away before that injury.

Georgia Tech has not been impressive themselves of late losing five of their last seven and limping into this thing but Paul Hewitt's team is square on that bubble and has to win the game. Derrick Favors is a great Freshman who has continued to improve and will dominate the boards alongside Gani Lawal.

The Yellow Jackets are a desperate team that has been playing better than their fate of late as they lost on buzzer beaters at both Miami and Maryland and is a team with a whole lot of talent and a high ceiling.

Look for the Jackets to look like the team that wants this game more and for them to take care of business going away against a bad team wearing uniforms that say "North Carolina" on them.



Josh Pastner's Memphis Tigers are certainly not the same team in any aspect as John Calipari's Memphis Tigers were but do not belittle this current squad. There is still a bunch of athletes and talented players on this team like Witherspoon, Williams, Sallie, Mack and Kemp and 13-3 in Conference USA is still not too shabby even if it is three more losses than usual.

Houston is a solid team but nothing more. The Cougars last week did beat the Tigers but that was at home, which makes a world of difference, and that will set up a matter of revenge today for Memphis. Plus Houston may have some wobbly legs after the win yesterday over East Carolina and it's never great to play a back-to-back no less against a team that can run the court which Memphis can.

I'm not calling this a 20 point burial but the Tigers in the end will win by double digits as they have everything going for them, everything.



No matter how much better some teams are than others there are certain squad that are not built to be heavy favorites and that is the exact case here with Northwestern.

Tom Crean's Hoosiers are miserable and a team that has pretty much packed it in. But just the other day they were able to muster something and at home beat the Wildcats in overtime. I don't expect that to happen again because John Shurna and the boys from Northwestern are definitely the superior team of these two making me believe that lightning striking twice is unlikely but Northwestern is just not a team that wins games going away, no matter what their opponent is like.

The Hoosiers are going to play the young kids to see what's there going forward andf that turned out to be a pretty good strategy in that last rare win.

Let's also not foget how this game is in Indianapolis which can only be a good thing here in this spot.

Northwestern is probably too good in the end in this revenge spot today but I'm backing the dog and daring the Wildcats to do enough offensively to beat me.



OT Did it For A Fourth Straight Day!?!??!

  • Saturday, January 30, 2010 9:58 PM
  • Written By: Jonathan Cash

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Your "Bad Beat" for Saturday is on:

Kansas (minus 4 AND total of 153) at Kansas State.

In some ways this is not really a true "Bad Beat" in terms of the side at least because the Wildcats clearly deserved to cover this game but in the end any Jayhawk backers and under players are cursing up a storm.

The game went to overtime tied at 69 and that eventually destroyed the under players. That in its own right was a terrible beat. Now to the side. It was back and forth pretty much throughout and Kansas had the one point lead and the ball in the waning seconds. The game clock was 41 and the shot clock was obviously 35.

Frank Martin opted to play it out instead of fouling. With 9 seconds remaining Kansas' Sherron Collins drove the lane and scored plus the foul to go up three. The free throw was missed badly short but Cole Aldrich scooped it up and eventually Brady Morningstar was fouled with just over four seconds to go. He made both free throws to extend the lead to five and all of a sudden it looked like KU had the very very lucky frontdoor cover.

But in "meaningless" backdoor fashion Kansas State' Jacob Pullen nailed a 30 footer at the buzzer and this thing ended 81-79 in a Kansas State cover.

Wow!



Your winners for Sunday are on:

4* North Carolina (minus 8 1/2) vs. Virginia.

2* Maryland (plus 5) at Clemson.

A phenomenal 2-0-1 Saturday led by the 4* on SMU outright against Memphis as the 7 1/2 point pup! Then my 3* on the Georgetown Hoyas pounded Duke and I feel like Nostradamus right about now.



Can you say cheap? The Tar Heels have struggled mightily at times this season but do not doubt Roy Williams' team. There is a boatload of talent with guys like Davis and Thompson and Ginyard and others and to basically only lay single digits at home against Virginia is a deal and a half.

The Cavaliers have played better overall than most people thought they would as Tony Bennett has done a nice job but a whacking is in the cards here in Chapel Hill.

North Carolina may not repeat as national champions as they lost a ton to the NBA but don't think that this current team is not good. I can't explain why they have looked so feeble at times but the tide is turning as we just saw at NC State and today is going to be another solid solid victory for the Heels.



Maryland right now is flat out better than Clemson!

Littlejohn Coliseum can certainly be a beast for a visitor and Trevor Booker is a beast himself but I am not really all that impressed with the Tigers right now. Somehow they did pummel North Carolina about a month ago and nailed a bunch of three's in the process but that game was a total aberation.

Oliver Purnell's Tigers were horrendous offensively against Duke in that last home game and looked terrible in that last overall game at Boston College.

Clemson has actually dropped three straight and four games ago were horrific in the second half blowing basically a 20 point lead at NC State.

Maryland on the other hand is a house on-fire right now. I am not going to belittle going on the road here because that could make any team wilt but Gary Williams' squad is playing at a higher level than I have seen the Terrapins play in a long time. Greivis Vazquez always had the potential but was too inconsistent. Now the guy has been money leading the way and Milbourne, Mosely and Hayes are quality experienced guys that will bring some game today.

The turtle have been blazing, covering game after game of late. This is a tough spot for sure but right now I do fear the turtle and will therefore back them plus a handful!



I'm On-Fire!

  • Wednesday, January 13, 2010 10:41 AM
  • Written By: Jonathan Cash

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Your "Bad Beat" for Tuesday is on:

Kent State (plus 1 1/2) at Miami, Ohio.

The Golden Flashers clamped down with the defense and led 24-11 at the half. Yes 11!?!?!?

The Redhawks, though,made a second half run though and picked it up a bit with the offense outscoring Kent 36-23 in the final 20 minutes to force overtime.

And in the extra session Kent was outscored 8-6 and fell 55-53 resulting in a non-cover and a fairly decent "Bad Beat".

How can you allow 11 points in the first half and not win that game!??!?!



Your winners for Wednesday are on:

4* North Carolina (plus 3) at Clemson.

3* Rutgers (plus 13) vs. Syracuse.

2-0 sweep on Tuesday as Penn State and Tennessee State each easily stay inside that number for another 4* worth of profit!



North Carolina may not be as loaded as last season but this team is still great. Clemson is good, period and to be laying points to Roy Williams' Hels is borderline silly. Ed Davis, Deon Thompson, Marcus Ginyard and on and on and on plus points in Clemson? Come on!?!?!?

I like Trevor Booker and Demontez Stitt and Oliver Purnell's team as a whole. They are a nice bunch that are a top 20 or so team but for them to be laying points here is wrong, plain and simple.

I understand how the road can be brutal at times for most programs but North Carolina is not most programs as these guys know how to travel and Littlejohn Coliseum is a familiar spot where they will be just fine in.



Syracuse may only have one loss and the Orange may have even beaten North Carolina earlier in the season but in terms of programs I trust UNC a lot more right now than I do Syracuse.

The Orangemen are very good with Wesley Johnson leading the way but they are not truly an elite squad right now and are well overvalued here on the road against a not good but still dangerous enough Rutgers program.

Fred Hill has some issues with the Scarlet Knights as they are one of the weaker Big East schools but this team does hold its own in terms of being competitive at home and I think they will do just that today. Look for Mike Rosario to do his thing and for this thing to end in single digits!



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The Saints are going to march on in!

  • Friday, December 18, 2009 10:42 PM
  • Written By: Jonathan Cash

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Your "Bad Beat" for Friday is on:

Clippers (plus 2 1/2) at New York.

I get a great lucky cover the other night with Ole Miss and it evened up today.

The Clippers were up by 15 after a quarter and 16 at the half. I was getting 2 1/2 points and therefore was in great shape as the Knicks were down by a ton and also on the always rough back-to-back.

The Knicks though mustered up some fight and came all the way back. New York led by two with 13 seconds remaining and Los Angeles had the ball. Rasual Butler missed a potential game winning three-pointer. The Knicks' Chris Duhon came down with the rebound and wouldn't you know it was fouled with one second remaining.

Duhon made both to give the New Yorkers the four point lead, win and cover!



Your winners for Saturday are on:

4* Saints (minus 7 1/2) vs. Dallas.

3* North Carolina (plus 7) at Texas.

2* South Carolina (minus 1 1/2) at Wofford.

A 3* on Friday on the Clippers loses (just look above) and a 1* loser on the Senators plus 155.



I am all over the Saints today, all over! If Dallas turns around their December horrors then so be it but I just do not see this will be possible today.

The Cowboys have looked pretty shaken over the last two games and in this month over the past five or so years. Tony Romo is a complete headcase and Marion Barber is not the same downfield runner we have seen in past seasons.

Now today a joke of a head coach in Wade Philips brings his boys into New Orleans against the unreal 13-0 Saints. As if things weren't bad enough for the visitors, huh?

Drew Brees is a superstar and if not for Peyton Manning the obvious MVP. The guy is phenomenal and has weapons all across the field in Colston, Henderson, Thomas, Bush, Shockey and so on.

New Orleans has been unreal at home all season long, just ask the Giants and Patriots and with a drunk and insanely lod fan base today should come out smoking and win going away.



Roy Williams' team is great and frankly better than Rick Barnes'. UNC does have a few losses and was pounded badly earlier in the season by Syracuse but that was then and right now Davis, Thompson, Ginyard and the Heels are really really good.

Texas is undefeated but that does not mean all that much to me as the Longhorns are still very unproven. Both teams can pound patsys but which team can step it up in a big-time heavyweight battle? That is the question.

North Carolina has already slugged it out with legitimate opponents in Kentucky, Michigan State, Syracuse and others. Texas has not and until they do this number is somewhat silly!



Darrin Horn's Gamecocks are far from healthy and this Wofford team is pretty solid but the price is still a bit too cheap to pass up.

Devan Downey is a superstar and even if he is once again missing his helpers the Gamecocks are still the better team and a must play.

Wofford was very competitive in games against Pittsburgh and Georgia in easy covers and I give them credit for that but just being competitive against another major program here will not cut it in terms of cashing the ticket.

This could be the trap game of all trap games as it certainly appears very easy and maybe too easy from the outside but I'm willing to take that chance.